Topic
Politics
The Politics stories the crowd is watching most. Crowdtells reads 21 live Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi as a signal of what matters, then briefs each one with real, cross-source reporting — what's moving now, and where the odds run ahead of the headlines.
What are people predicting in Politics right now?
The biggest Politics story the crowd is watching is Flávio Bolsonaro Faces Corruption Probe Ahead of Brazil Election — Polymarket prices this Flávio Bolsonaro at 56%. Crowdtells tracks 21 live Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi.
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Flávio Bolsonaro Faces Corruption Probe Ahead of Brazil Election
Flávio Bolsonaro, a prominent candidate in Brazil's upcoming presidential election, is facing a corruption probe that has emerged just weeks before the October 4, 2026, vote. This…
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White House Nears 90-Day Diesel Export Ban
The White House is reportedly advancing plans for a 90-day ban on U.S. diesel exports, a move President Trump has publicly considered to combat high domestic fuel prices. Several…
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Vučić to Seek Premiership Amid Serbian Political Shake-Up
Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić has announced his intention to step down from his current role at the end of September to seek the premiership, a move that has prompted a…
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Talarico Gains Ground in Texas Senate Race
The race for a U.S. Senate seat in Texas is intensifying, with Democratic challenger James Talarico receiving a significant endorsement just two months before the midterm…
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Democrats' Midterm Sweep Chances Rise Amid Geopolitical Tensions
The likelihood of Democrats achieving a "Democrats Sweep" in the 2026 United States midterm elections, meaning control of both the Senate and House of Representatives, has seen a…
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Yashar Party Gains Ahead of Israeli Elections
Legislative elections are anticipated in Israel on October 27, 2026, where Yair Eisenkot's Yashar party is reportedly making strides against Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud. Recent…
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Le Pen Leads 2027 French Presidential Race
Campaigning for France's next presidential election, anticipated in April 2027, has officially commenced, with recent polls indicating Marine Le Pen as the frontrunner. Le Pen…
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Bass Faces Mounting Pressure in Los Angeles Mayoral Race
Karen Bass, the incumbent mayor of Los Angeles, is experiencing increased pressure in her re-election bid, with recent reports indicating a perceived shift in campaign energy…
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Iran Leadership Under Scrutiny Amid US Regime Change Talk
Questions surrounding the leadership of Iran, particularly the de facto status of Mojtaba Khamenei, have intensified as the United States' strategy toward Tehran appears to shift…
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Merz Fights for Chancellorship Amid Far-Right Gains
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is battling for his political survival following a series of historic defeats for his Christian Democratic Union (CDU) in regional elections. The…
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J.D. Vance Rallies Republicans, Eyes 2028 Presidential Bid
Senator J.D. Vance is intensifying his public appearances and engagements with Republican Party figures, fueling speculation about a potential run for the 2028 U.S. presidential…
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Trump Rebrands AI as "Super Intelligence"
Donald Trump has declared his intention to rename artificial intelligence to "Super Intelligence" in official U.S. government documents. Speaking at the United Nations, Trump…
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JD Vance Faces Early Challenges for 2028 Presidential Bid
Ohio Senator JD Vance is already facing scrutiny and potential challengers as the 2028 presidential election cycle begins to take shape. Reports indicate that other Republicans…
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Ocasio-Cortez's 2028 Presidential Ambitions Under Scrutiny
Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's potential bid for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination continues to generate discussion, though her path appears challenging.…
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Tight Kansas Senate Race Pits Marshall Against Hamilton
The 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate election is shaping up to be a closely contested race, with incumbent Republican Roger Marshall facing a significant challenge from Democratic…
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Houthis Seize Mocha, Threaten Bab el-Mandeb Shipping
Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis have seized control of the historic port city of Mocha, according to multiple Yemeni government military sources. This development significantly…
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Collins, Jackson in Tight Maine Senate Race
The race for Maine's U.S. Senate seat is drawing significant attention, with recent polls indicating a close contest between incumbent Republican Susan Collins and Democratic…
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US Confirmation of Alien Existence by Year-End
The possibility of a US federal agency, the President, a Cabinet member, or a Joint Chiefs of Staff member confirming the existence of extraterrestrial life or technology by…
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Becerra Extends Lead in California Governor's Race
Democrat Xavier Becerra has significantly expanded his lead over Republican challenger Steve Hilton in the race for California Governor, according to recent polling data. Several…
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Crypto Industry Targets Sherrod Brown in Ohio Senate Race
Senator Sherrod Brown, a prominent Democrat, is facing a concerted and well-funded opposition campaign from the crypto industry as he seeks re-election to the Ohio Senate for a…
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Democrats Favored to Win U.S. House Control in 2026
The Democratic Party is currently on a trajectory to outperform earlier forecasts for the 2026 U.S. House elections, with recent surveys indicating a significant lead over…
Frequently asked questions
What are the top Politics prediction markets right now?
Flávio Bolsonaro Faces Corruption Probe Ahead of Brazil Election (Flávio Bolsonaro 56%); White House Nears 90-Day Diesel Export Ban (October 31 12%); Vučić to Seek Premiership Amid Serbian Political Shake-Up (Aleksandar Vučić 56%)
What is the crowd pricing in Politics right now?
Polymarket prices this Flávio Bolsonaro at 56%.
Where do Politics prediction markets trade?
Crowdtells tracks Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi — the two largest prediction-market platforms — and briefs each with cross-source reporting. The odds are crowd-implied probabilities, not financial advice.