Topic

Politics

The Politics stories the crowd is watching most. Crowdtells reads 12 live Politics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi as a signal of what matters, then briefs each one with real, cross-source reporting — what's moving now, and where the odds run ahead of the headlines.

• Trump Mulls Pulling Blanche's Attorney General Nomination

  August 3, 2026·Kalshi·Todd Blanche 95%·5 sources

  President Trump is considering pulling the nomination of Todd Blanche for Attorney General as Republican senators hold out for concessions. This comes after Blanche rescinded…

• Abdul El-Sayed leads in Michigan Senate Democratic primary polls

  July 31, 2026·Kalshi·Abdul El-Sayed 98%·5 sources

  Michigan's Senate primary season is heating up, with Abdul El-Sayed leading in the latest polls. Despite his strong showing, some analysts say the nomination is far from certain,…

• Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar leads Benjamin Netanyahu in new Channel 12 Knesset poll

  July 22, 2026·Polymarket·Gadi Eizenkot 50%·5 sources

  As the Israeli election nears, Gadi Eizenkot's Yashar party is gaining momentum, according to a new Channel 12 Knesset poll. The poll puts Eizenkot ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu,…

• Nigel Farage's Clacton seat on the line in by-election

  August 3, 2026·Polymarket·Binface 10–20% 46%·5 sources

  A by-election for the UK parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following Nigel Farage's announced resignation. The contest is seen as a test of…

• Wesley Bell and Cori Bush rematch in St. Louis Democratic primary

  July 29, 2026·Polymarket·Wesley Bell 66%·5 sources

  Former Rep. Cori Bush and current Rep. Wesley Bell meet in Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, a rematch that the AP calls a key test for…

• Lula solidifies lead ahead of Brazil's presidential election

  July 23, 2026·Polymarket·Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 66%·5 sources

  Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has extended his lead over challenger Flavio Bolsonaro in the run-up to the country's presidential election, scheduled for October 4,…

• Democrats eye rare midterm sweep of Congress with margins razor-thin

  July 22, 2026·Polymarket·Democrats Sweep 46%·5 sources

  Democrats are mounting an increasingly credible push to retake both chambers of Congress in the November 2026 midterms, with multiple outlets now reporting that polling margins…

• RFK Jr. faces Hatch Act probe as 2028 GOP nomination talk persists

  July 24, 2026·Polymarket·Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 49%·4 sources

  A Senate Democrat has requested an investigation into whether Robert F. Kennedy Jr. violated the Hatch Act, according to The Hill, adding a new legal dimension to questions about…

• McKinney challenges incumbent Thanedar in MI-13 Democratic primary

  July 31, 2026·Polymarket·Donavan McKinney 87%·5 sources

  Donavan McKinney is challenging incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar for the Democratic nomination in Michigan's 13th Congressional District, with the primary set for August 4, 2026.…

• United Russia Favored to Gain Most Seats in Russian Parliamentary Election

  July 27, 2026·Polymarket·United Russia (ER) 64%·2 sources

  The Russian parliamentary election is set to take place in September 2026, with United Russia, the current ruling party, expected to maintain its dominance. The party has been in…

• Byron Donalds Challenges David Jolly in Florida Governor Race

  August 1, 2026·Kalshi·Byron Donalds 97%·5 sources

  Florida Republican Byron Donalds is challenging Democrat David Jolly in the 2026 governor race, with the Republican Party nomination hanging in the balance. Traders put Byron…

• Becerra pulls wide lead over Hilton in California governor's race

  July 20, 2026·Kalshi·Xavier Becerra 95%·5 sources

  Democrat Xavier Becerra has advanced to the general election in California's 2026 governor's race and now holds a wide lead over Republican Steve Hilton in recent polling,…