Topic
Geopolitics
The Geopolitics stories the crowd is watching most. Crowdtells reads 11 live Geopolitics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi as a signal of what matters, then briefs each one with real, cross-source reporting — what's moving now, and where the odds run ahead of the headlines.
What are people predicting in Geopolitics right now?
The biggest Geopolitics story the crowd is watching is Hamas Announces Disarmament Deal with Israel and US — Polymarket prices this December 31, 2026 at 55%. Crowdtells tracks 11 live Geopolitics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi.
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Hamas Announces Disarmament Deal with Israel and US
Hamas has announced it will disarm in the Gaza Strip if Israel withdraws from the area and the US honors a ceasefire agreement signed in October 2025. The move is seen as a…
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Iran's Hormuz fees plan sparks fresh tensions with US and Gulf allies
The Iranian government is reportedly considering a plan to charge commercial vessels for passage through the Strait of Hormuz, a move that has sparked fresh tensions with the US…
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US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal Deadline Looms Amid Tensions
The United States and Iran are locked in a high-stakes diplomatic effort to reach a final nuclear deal, with the deadline for a written agreement set for December 31, 2026. The…
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Iran-US tensions escalate as US warns of potential airspace closure
Iran's military activities in the region have escalated tensions with the US, with the latter warning of potential airspace closure by December 31. The situation is causing…
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US-Iran Conflict Escalates as US Carries Out Strikes on Iran
The US military has carried out strikes on Iran, escalating the conflict as both sides threaten civilian infrastructure. The situation remains volatile, with the US and Iran…
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US-Iran diplomacy enters critical window as September deadline looms
of progress, while Fox News reported he cautioned the five-month conflict could drag on toward November's midterms. Whether senior representatives convene formally by the…
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U.S.-Iran escalation deepens as 60-day deal window nears expiry
The United States has expanded its military strikes on Iran over the past two weeks, with CENTCOM confirming new operations and Tehran declaring the Strait of Hormuz a "red line"…
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Iran's Mojtaba Khamenei Issues Belligerent Statement Amid Escalating Tensions
Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has issued a belligerent statement accusing President Trump of violating the U.S.-Iran agreement and pledging a strong response by Iran and…
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Venezuela's Nicolás Maduro to face trial in June 2027
Venezuela's President Nicolás Maduro will face trial in June 2027, a significant development in the country's ongoing political and economic crisis. The trial is set to take place…
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Russia Tensions Rise Amid Fears of NATO Clash
Tensions between Russia and NATO have escalated in recent days, with Russia's military buildup in Eastern Europe sparking fears of a potential conflict. While some analysts…
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Interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS may predate the Sun, scientists say
Scientists studying the interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS say the object may be older than the Sun itself, offering a rare window into material from beyond the solar system. The comet,…
Frequently asked questions
What are the top Geopolitics prediction markets right now?
Hamas Announces Disarmament Deal with Israel and US (December 31, 2026 55%); Iran's Hormuz fees plan sparks fresh tensions with US and Gulf allies (December 31 65%); US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal Deadline Looms Amid Tensions (December 31 36%)
What is the crowd pricing in Geopolitics right now?
Polymarket prices this December 31, 2026 at 55%.
Where do Geopolitics prediction markets trade?
Crowdtells tracks Geopolitics markets on Polymarket and Kalshi — the two largest prediction-market platforms — and briefs each with cross-source reporting. The odds are crowd-implied probabilities, not financial advice.