Politics Kalshi August 3, 2026
Trump Mulls Pulling Blanche's Attorney General Nomination
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Kalshi prices this Todd Blanche at 95%. The reporting broadly agrees.
President Trump is considering pulling the nomination of Todd Blanche for Attorney General as Republican senators hold out for concessions. This comes after Blanche rescinded Trump's 'anti-weaponization fund' ahead of his nomination hearing, reigniting a dispute over the settlement. Traders put Blanche at 95%, even though the reporting suggests Trump's stance on the fund may be a sticking point in the confirmation process.
Background
Todd Blanche's nomination for Attorney General has been a contentious issue, with Republican senators threatening to block his confirmation if the 'anti-weaponization fund' is not rescinded. Blanche has since rescinded the fund, but the dispute over the settlement remains. The market resolves on January 20, 2029, in about 901 days.
The precedent
- No sitting governor has won the nomination since 1972
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- Todd Blanche's nomination for Attorney General has been a contentious issue.
- Republican senators have threatened to block his confirmation if the 'anti-weaponization fund' is not rescinded.
- The dispute over the settlement remains a sticking point in the confirmation process.
How outlets frame it
- The New York Times: emphasizes the dispute over the settlement and Trump's stance on the fund
- CBS News: highlights the Republican senators' opposition to Blanche's confirmation
What to watch
The next development in the Blanche nomination process will be the Senate vote on his confirmation, which is expected to be contentious. The outcome of this vote will determine whether Blanche becomes the next Attorney General or if Trump's nomination is pulled.
The numbers behind this
Kalshi prices this Todd Blanche at 95%.
24h +30.4 pts
$3.2M traded · $217K in the last day · $624K open interest
Resolves on: If the first new person to be Attorney General is Todd Blanche before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pricing Kalshi 95%
Sources
- Trump Administration Amps Up Pressure On Senate To Confirm Todd Blanche As Attorney General time.com
- Trump considers pulling Todd Blanche's attorney general nomination as senators hold out bbc.com
- Trump floats pulling Blanche's nomination for attorney general to avoid conceding to GOP demands apnews.com
- Trump says he may temporarily pull Blanche's nomination for attorney general as Republicans seek concessions pbs.org
- Todd Blanche rescinds Trump’s ‘anti-weaponization fund’ ahead of nomination hearing npr.org
Frequently asked questions
Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Kalshi prices this Todd Blanche at 95%. The reporting broadly agrees.
What do the sources agree on?
Todd Blanche's nomination for Attorney General has been a contentious issue. Republican senators have threatened to block his confirmation if the 'anti-weaponization fund' is not rescinded. The dispute over the settlement remains a sticking point in the confirmation process.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: If the first new person to be Attorney General is Todd Blanche before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.